India and Pakistan have likely agreed to a ceasefire, effective from 5:00 PM IST today, May 10, 2025 • Govt Ka Jawai

Key Points

India and Pakistan have likely agreed to a ceasefire, effective from 5:00 PM IST today, May 10, 2025.
The agreement seems to have been mediated by the United States, though Indian officials downplay this role.
Follow-up talks are scheduled for May 12, 2025, but details are still emerging.
The ceasefire follows recent military tensions, with reports of civilian casualties, though exact numbers vary.

Background

Recent tensions between India and Pakistan escalated after a terror attack in Jammu and Kashmir, leading to military strikes. The ceasefire aims to halt all actions on land, air, and sea, but its long-term impact remains uncertain.

Current Status

The ceasefire was announced by both nations’ officials, with US President Donald Trump claiming mediation credit via an X post. However, Indian officials emphasize it was a bilateral decision, highlighting potential controversy over mediation claims.

Implications

While welcomed by some, such as local leaders, the ceasefire is seen as a pause rather than a resolution, with India maintaining a firm stance against terrorism. Diplomatic measures like the suspended Indus Water Treaty remain in place.

Survey Note: India-Pakistan Ceasefire Developments as of May 10, 2025

On May 10, 2025, India and Pakistan reached a significant agreement for a “full and immediate ceasefire,” effective from 5:00 PM IST, marking a critical pause in escalating military tensions. This development, announced amidst a backdrop of recent conflicts, has drawn international attention, particularly due to claims of US mediation. Below, we explore the details, context, and implications based on available reports from reputable sources.

Agreement Details and Timing

The ceasefire, confirmed by India’s Foreign Secretary Vikram Misri and Pakistan’s Foreign Minister Ishaq Dar, began at 17:00 IST (12:30 BST), halting all military actions across land, air, and sea. This timing aligns with reports from BBC News and Reuters, which note the agreement came into effect on the same day, addressing immediate hostilities.

Detail	Information
Agreement Type	Full and immediate ceasefire
Effective Time	5:00 PM IST, May 10, 2025
Confirmation Sources	India’s Vikram Misri, Pakistan’s Ishaq Dar, US Trump

The initiation of this ceasefire followed direct communication between the Directors General of Military Operations (DGMOs), with Pakistan making the call at 3:35 PM IST, as per Indian reports. Both sides are scheduled to speak again on May 12, 2025, potentially setting the stage for further diplomatic engagement, though details on the location and scope remain unclear.

Role of Mediation and Controversy

A notable aspect is the involvement of the United States, with President Donald Trump claiming credit via an X post, stating, “After a long night of talks mediated by the United States, I am pleased to announce that India and Pakistan have agreed to a FULL AND IMMEDIATE CEASEFIRE” (Donald Trump on X). This claim was supported by mentions of Vice President Vance and Secretary of State Marco Rubio’s involvement, suggesting high-level US diplomacy. However, Indian officials, including Misri, have emphasized that the ceasefire was a bilateral arrangement, downplaying US mediation. This discrepancy highlights a potential controversy, with Pakistan’s Dar acknowledging international efforts but maintaining sovereignty, adding complexity to the narrative.

Context of Escalation

The ceasefire follows a period of heightened tensions, triggered by a terror attack in Pahalgam, Jammu and Kashmir, on April 22, 2025, which resulted in 26 civilian deaths. India responded with Operation Sindoor, targeting terror infrastructure in Pakistan and Pakistan-occupied Kashmir, leading to retaliatory strikes and counter-strikes. Reports indicate a civilian death toll of 66, as noted by Reuters, underscoring the severity of the conflict. Pakistan denies involvement in the attack, further complicating diplomatic relations.

Event	Date	Impact
Pahalgam Terror Attack	April 22, 2025	26 civilians killed
Operation Sindoor by India	Post-April 22	Targeted terror infrastructure
Retaliatory Strikes by Pakistan	May 2025	Escalated tensions, 66 civilian deaths

India’s External Affairs Minister S Jaishankar reaffirmed the country’s firm stance against terrorism, indicating that while military actions are paused, the broader policy remains unchanged. Additionally, diplomatic measures such as the suspension of the Indus Water Treaty, a 1960 agreement regulating water sharing, remain in place, as reported by The Guardian.

Immediate Reactions and Implications

The ceasefire has been welcomed by figures such as Jammu and Kashmir Chief Minister Omar Abdullah and the Communist Party of India (Marxist), with India Today noting relief among border region residents. However, it is widely seen as a temporary pause rather than a resolution, with Indian armed forces emphasizing operational readiness and warning of a “decisive response” to future escalations, as per BBC News. Pakistan’s restoration of airspace, reported by BBC News, indicates a return to normalcy in some aspects, but the underlying tensions persist.

The agreement’s conditional nature is evident, with both nations maintaining strategic positions. India’s insistence on a bilateral framework contrasts with US claims, potentially affecting future diplomatic engagements. The scheduled talks on May 12, 2025, could be pivotal, with Rubio suggesting discussions at a neutral site, though Indian officials have clarified no such plans are confirmed, adding to the uncertainty.

Broader Context and Future Outlook

This ceasefire occurs against a backdrop of historical India-Pakistan conflicts, particularly over Kashmir, with recent events amplifying longstanding issues. The involvement of international actors, including the US, Saudi Arabia, and Turkey, as mentioned by Sky News, underscores global interest. However, the effectiveness of this ceasefire will depend on adherence, further negotiations, and addressing root causes like terrorism and territorial disputes.

In summary, while the ceasefire offers immediate relief, its sustainability and impact on resolving deeper conflicts remain uncertain. The interplay of bilateral and international dynamics, coupled with domestic political pressures, will shape the next steps, with all eyes on the May 12, 2025, talks and beyond.

Key Citations

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